METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Aug 2024
Lightweight
VS
7%
Yahya
93%
Fernandes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:45
★ Official Result
Kaue FernandeswinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:45
def. Mohammad Yahya · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fernandes
→
Actual result
Fernandes wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Fernandes is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fernandes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Risk flags
Yahya's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
YahyaFernandes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Yahya
Fernandes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
73"
32
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Yahya
Fernandes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.3
56.8
0.0
Performance Avg
53.0
0
Quality of Victory
48
0
Momentum Score
61
Yahya
Fernandes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
6.5
0.0
Style: Volume
3.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
21
0
Body
6
2
Leg
10
RangeRange
4Distance29
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Yahya
Fernandes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Yahya
Fernandes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Yahya
Fernandes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
61
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Yahya
Fernandes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yahya
Fernandes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
YahyaFernandes
Strike Zones
Yahya
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedFernandes
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the head (50% of attacks) — Fernandes absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Fernandes targets the head (57% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yahya
RND
Fernandes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Yahya · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Steven NguyenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Kaue FernandesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Trevor PeekDecision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Fernandes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Harry HardwickKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Guram KutateladzeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Mohammad YahyaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11