METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2021
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Smolka
57%
Morales
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:02
★ Official Result
Vince MoraleswinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:02
def. Louis Smolka · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Morales
→
Actual result
Morales wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Smolka at 43% vs Morales at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Smolka's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morales has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmolkaMorales
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smolka
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smolka
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.6
34.6
46.5
Performance Avg
32.0
46
Quality of Victory
37
60
Momentum Score
30
Smolka
Morales
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.9
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
3.1
2.9
Style: Volume
5.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
16
10
Body
8
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
19Distance18
4Clinch4
0Ground5
Smolka
Morales
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smolka
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Smolka
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Smolka
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smolka
Morales
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
SmolkaMorales
Strike Zones
Smolka
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedMorales
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smolka targets the body (43% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (59% of attacks) — Smolka absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smolka
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Smolka · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Davey GrantKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Vince MoralesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · KO · R2
Jose QuinonezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R1
Casey KenneySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Ryan MacDonaldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Morales · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Colby ThicknesseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Elijah SmithDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11