UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Phoenix, USA
13 Dec 2014
Welterweight
VS
48%
Riggs
52%
Saunders
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:57
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Saunders
This is a genuine toss-up — Riggs at 48% vs Saunders at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Saunders throws more volume but Riggs connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Riggs's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Saunders has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Riggs
Saunders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+77"
43
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Riggs
Saunders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.5
15.6
39.3
Performance Avg
46.4
38
Quality of Victory
46
64
Momentum Score
50
Riggs
Saunders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
55%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Riggs
Saunders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riggs
Saunders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.9 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/61 fights
Chin rating based on
19/35 fights
Riggs
Saunders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
50
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Riggs
Saunders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riggs
Saunders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
RiggsSaunders
Strike Zones
Riggs
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSaunders
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riggs targets the head (100% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Saunders targets the head (75% of attacks) — Riggs absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riggs
RND
Saunders
0/0R00/0
Riggs · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Saunders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Riggs · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris CamozziRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · R2
Ron StallingsRating 4.2UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Patrick CoteRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Sub · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
Diego SanchezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
Saunders · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06