UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
11 Nov 2023
Featherweight
VS
50%
Buzukja
50%
Emmers
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:49
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Buzukja
This is a genuine toss-up — Buzukja at 50% vs Emmers at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Buzukja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Emmers has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Buzukja's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Emmers has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Buzukja
Emmers
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+74"
28+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Buzukja
Emmers
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
44.6
38.0
Performance Avg
45.6
50
Quality of Victory
39
39
Momentum Score
40
Buzukja
Emmers
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
53%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
1
Body
2
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
3Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Buzukja
Emmers
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Buzukja
Emmers
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
9/30 fights
Buzukja
Emmers
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Buzukja
Emmers
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buzukja
Emmers
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
BuzukjaEmmers
Strike Zones
Buzukja
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedEmmers
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buzukja targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Emmers absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Emmers targets the head (57% of attacks) — Buzukja absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buzukja
RND
Emmers
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Buzukja · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Emmers · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Buzukja · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcio BarbosaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis MarshallRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · KO · R3
Connor MatthewsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
Emmers · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hyder AmilRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gabriel MirandaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Dennis BuzukjaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06