Cub Swanson vs Brian Ortega — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega

Fresno, USA

9 Dec 2017

Featherweight

42%

Swanson

58%

Ortega

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 3:22

Cub Swanson

31 – 14

5'8"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 46

Brian Ortega

"T-City"

16 – 5

Pressure Fighter2-fight slide35 yrsSwitch69" reach5'8"

CFR 62

★ Official Result

Brian OrtegawinsSubmissionR2 · 3:22

def. Cub Swanson · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Ortega

→

Actual result

Ortega wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 42% vs Ortega at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

SwansonOrtega

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Swanson

Ortega

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

5'8"

70"+

Reach

69"

Age

+35

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

Swanson

Ortega

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

45.5

62.1

48.8

Performance Avg

53.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Swanson

Ortega

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.2

/ 10

5.0

/ 10

5.3

Style: Pressure

8.0

5.2

Style: Volume

2.2

8 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

27Distance6

3Clinch2

0Ground0

Swanson

Ortega

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.2

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

0.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.0

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

5.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Swanson

Ortega

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.5 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

4 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

26/45 fights

Chin rating based on

15/21 fights

Swanson

Ortega

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

L · KO · R1

Swanson

Ortega

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

88%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Swanson

Ortega

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.0

1.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.3

0.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.0

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

5.0

5.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.0

5.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.2

Swanson

Strike Zones

Ortega

Swanson

Attacking

30 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Ortega

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

30 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Swanson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ortega absorbs 50% of strikes there

🎯Ortega targets the head (50% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Swanson

RND

Ortega

0/0R00/0

Swanson · Last 5

W · KO · R1

Nate Landwehr

KO/TKO

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04

W · KO · R3

Billy Quarantillo

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

L · Dec · R3

Andre Fili

Decision

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

W · Dec · R3

Hakeem Dawodu

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

L · KO · R2

Jonathan Martinez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

Ortega · Last 5

Upcoming

Renato Moicano

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

L · Dec · R5

Aljamain Sterling

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

L · Dec · R3

Diego Lopes

Decision

UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

W · Sub · R3

Yair Rodriguez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

L · KO · R1

Yair Rodriguez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07

News & Media

Cub Swanson · Brian Ortega

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