The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale
Las Vegas, USA
15 Dec 2012
Welterweight
VS
56%
Pyle
44%
Head
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pyle
This is a genuine toss-up — Pyle at 56% vs Head at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pyle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pyle's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Head has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pyle
Head
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"+
Reach
73"
50
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pyle
Head
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
15.3
47.8
Performance Avg
39.7
45
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
51
Pyle
Head
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
7
1
Body
6
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
2Clinch8
5Ground0
Pyle
Head
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pyle
Head
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/41 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Pyle
Head
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Pyle
Head
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pyle
Head
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
PyleHead
Strike Zones
Pyle
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedHead
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pyle targets the head (78% of attacks) — Head absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Head targets the head (54% of attacks) — Pyle absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pyle
RND
Head
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pyle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Head · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Pyle · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zak OttowRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Alex GarciaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Alberto MinaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Head · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jason HighRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
W · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 4.5Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Sub · R1
Papy AbediRating 5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R3
Nick RingRating 4Submission
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06