METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Bantamweight
VS
5%
Oliveira
95%
Marcos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:18
★ Official Result
Daniel MarcoswinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:18
def. Saimon Oliveira · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Marcos
→
Actual result
Marcos wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Marcos is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Marcos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OliveiraMarcos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oliveira
Marcos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
72"+
Reach
69"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Marcos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.4
61.0
0.0
Performance Avg
54.9
0
Quality of Victory
36
0
Momentum Score
83
Oliveira
Marcos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
5.3
0.0
Style: Volume
6.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
15
0
Body
10
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance19
0Clinch6
0Ground1
Oliveira
Marcos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Marcos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Oliveira
Marcos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
83
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Oliveira
Marcos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Marcos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
OliveiraMarcos
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedMarcos
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the legs (70% of attacks) — Marcos absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Marcos targets the head (58% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Marcos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oliveira · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Luan LacerdaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
David MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Daniel MarcosKO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony GravelyDecision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
Marcos · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Miles JohnsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Adrian YanezDecision
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W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaDecision
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Upcoming
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