UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Bantamweight
VS
5%
Oliveira
95%
Marcos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Marcos
Marcos is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Marcos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Marcos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira
Marcos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
72"+
Reach
69"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Marcos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.4
61.0
0.0
Performance Avg
54.9
0
Quality of Victory
36
0
Momentum Score
83
Oliveira
Marcos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
60%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
15
0
Body
10
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance19
0Clinch6
0Ground1
Oliveira
Marcos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oliveira
Marcos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Oliveira
Marcos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
83
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Oliveira
Marcos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Marcos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
OliveiraMarcos
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedMarcos
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the legs (70% of attacks) — Marcos absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Marcos targets the head (58% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Marcos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Marcos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Oliveira · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Luan LacerdaRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
David MartinezRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony GravelyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
Marcos · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Miles JohnsRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Adrian YanezRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Upcoming
AoriqilengUFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02