★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 17: Redemption
Mobile, USA
15 May 1998
Light Heavyweight
VS
63%
Shamrock
37%
Horn
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shamrock
Shamrock holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Horn has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shamrock has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Shamrock has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Horn has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Shamrock
Horn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
Reach
74"
53
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shamrock
Horn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
18.9
89.0
Performance Avg
48.1
82
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
78
Shamrock
Horn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.8
65%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
6
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
8Clinch0
0Ground0
Shamrock
Horn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.7
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shamrock
Horn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
16
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/33 fights
Chin rating based on
13/113 fights
Shamrock
Horn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R4
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Shamrock
Horn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
83%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shamrock
Horn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
ShamrockHorn
Strike Zones
Shamrock
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHorn
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shamrock targets the body (75% of attacks) — Horn absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Horn targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Shamrock absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shamrock
RND
Horn
0/0R00/0
Shamrock · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Horn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Shamrock · Last 5
W · KO · R4
Tito OrtizRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 22: Only One Can be Champion · 1999-09
W · Sub · R1
John LoberRating 5Submission
UFC - Ultimate Brazil · 1998-10
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy HornRating 5.2Submission
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05
W · KO · R1
Igor ZinovievRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 16: Battle in the Bayou · 1998-03
W · Sub · R1
Kevin JacksonRating 5Submission
UFC - Ultimate Japan · 1997-12
Horn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Dean ListerRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · Sub · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11