METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Oct 2024
Welterweight
VS
56%
Neal
44%
Anjos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:30
★ Official Result
Geoff NealwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:30
def. Rafael Dos Anjos · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neal
→
Actual result
Neal wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Neal at 56% vs Anjos at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Neal's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NealAnjos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Neal
Anjos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
75"+
Reach
70"
36+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Neal
Anjos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
43.1
51.7
Performance Avg
47.7
48
Quality of Victory
41
72
Momentum Score
49
Neal
Anjos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
4.8
3.1
Style: Volume
5.7
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
2
3
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance4
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Neal
Anjos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.4
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Neal
Anjos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
37/49 fights
Neal
Anjos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Neal
Anjos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
43%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
5
2
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Neal
Anjos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.4
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
NealAnjos
Strike Zones
Neal
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAnjos
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Neal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Anjos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Neal absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Neal
RND
Anjos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Neal · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Anjos · Last 5
Upcoming
Alexander HernandezUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotDecision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12