UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Oct 2024
Welterweight
VS
59%
Neal
41%
Anjos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:30
Geoff
Geoff Neal
"Handz of Steel"
16 – 8
5'11"75" reachSouthpaw35 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 56
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Neal

This is a genuine toss-up — Neal at 59% vs Anjos at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Neal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Neal's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Neal
Anjos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
75"+
Reach
70"
35+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Neal
Anjos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
38.8
51.7
Performance Avg
47.7
48
Quality of Victory
41
72
Momentum Score
49
Neal
Anjos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
47%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
2
3
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance4
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Neal
Anjos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.4
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Neal
Anjos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
36/49 fights
Neal
Anjos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Neal
Anjos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
43%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
5
2
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Neal
Anjos
Striking7.4 / 3.1Volume3.1 / 5.7Grappling1.6 / 3.3Wrestling1.1 / 2.3Submission1.3 / 2.4Pressure7.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.4
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Neal
Strike Zones
Anjos
Neal
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Anjos
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Neal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Anjos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Neal absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Neal
RND
Anjos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Neal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.2W5.6W5.9W5.0W6.1L6.1L5.0W7.0W6.1L7.0L5.2W3.7L3.3L2018-022019-122022-082025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Neal · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

News & Media

Geoff Neal · Rafael Dos Anjos
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