METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
Las Vegas, USA
20 Feb 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
24%
Dobson
76%
O'Neill
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:41
★ Official Result
Casey O'NeillwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:41
def. Shana Dobson · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Neill
→
Actual result
O'Neill wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
O'Neill is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dobson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
O'Neill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dobson's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DobsonO'Neill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dobson
O'Neill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"
Reach
69"
37
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dobson
O'Neill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
58.5
46.3
Performance Avg
56.5
55
Quality of Victory
44
59
Momentum Score
58
Dobson
O'Neill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
3.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
52%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
16
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground16
Dobson
O'Neill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dobson
O'Neill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/9 fights
Chin rating based on
8/13 fights
Dobson
O'Neill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
58
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Dobson
O'Neill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dobson
O'Neill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
DobsonO'Neill
Strike Zones
Dobson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedO'Neill
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dobson targets the body (50% of attacks) — O'Neill absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯O'Neill targets the head (94% of attacks) — Dobson absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dobson
RND
O'Neill
0/0R00/0
Dobson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
O'Neill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Dobson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
W · KO · R2
Mariya AgapovaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Priscila CachoeiraRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MuellerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
O'Neill · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Gabriella FernandesRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana SantosRating 6.2Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 2.8Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Roxanne ModafferiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02