METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
Las Vegas, USA
20 Feb 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
24%
Dobson
76%
O'Neill
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:41
★ Official Result
Casey O'NeillwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:41
def. Shana Dobson · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Neill
→
Actual result
O'Neill wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
O'Neill is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dobson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Dobson's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DobsonO'Neill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dobson
O'Neill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"
Reach
69"
37
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dobson
O'Neill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
58.5
46.3
Performance Avg
56.5
55
Quality of Victory
44
59
Momentum Score
58
Dobson
O'Neill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
6.5
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
6.9
0.7
Style: Volume
4.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
16
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground16
Dobson
O'Neill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dobson
O'Neill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/9 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
Dobson
O'Neill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
58
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Dobson
O'Neill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dobson
O'Neill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
DobsonO'Neill
Strike Zones
Dobson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedO'Neill
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dobson targets the body (50% of attacks) — O'Neill absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯O'Neill targets the head (94% of attacks) — Dobson absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dobson
RND
O'Neill
0/0R00/0
Dobson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
W · KO · R2
Mariya AgapovaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Priscila CachoeiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MuellerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
O'Neill · Last 5
Upcoming
Eduarda MouraUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Gabriella FernandesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana SantosDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Ariane da SilvaSubmission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03