Chase Hooper vs Alexander Hernandez — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

Chicago, USA

16 Aug 2025

Lightweight

52%

Hooper

48%

Hernandez

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 4:58

Chase Hooper

"The Dream"

16 – 5

6'1"74" reachSouthpaw26 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 56

Alexander Hernandez

"El Gran Chango"

18 – 9

Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"

CFR 53

★ Official Result

Alexander HernandezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:58

def. Chase Hooper · UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Hooper

→

Actual result

Hernandez wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Hooper at 52% vs Hernandez at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Hooper's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

HooperHernandez

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Hooper

Hernandez

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

5'9"

74"+

Reach

72"

26+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Hooper

Hernandez

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

56.3

52.9

53.5

Performance Avg

47.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Hooper

Hernandez

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.5

/ 10

6.1

/ 10

7.4

Style: Pressure

5.2

3.1

Style: Volume

5.1

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

20Distance13

0Clinch0

0Ground4

Hooper

Hernandez

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.0

/ 10

1.2

/ 10

3.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.8

5.6

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Hooper

Hernandez

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

9 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

14/21 fights

Chin rating based on

19/27 fights

Hooper

Hernandez

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

W · Sub · R1

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Hooper

Hernandez

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

78%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hooper

Hernandez

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.1

5.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.2

3.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.8

5.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.2

3.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.1

Hooper

Strike Zones

Hernandez

Hooper

Attacking

20 landed

Absorbing

17 absorbed

Hernandez

Attacking

17 landed

Absorbing

20 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Hooper targets the head (35% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 35% of strikes there

🎯Hernandez targets the head (82% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hooper

RND

Hernandez

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Hooper · Last 5

W · Sub · R1

Mitch Ramirez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07

L · KO · R1

Lance Gibson Jr.

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03

L · KO · R1

Alexander Hernandez

KO/TKO

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Jim Miller

Decision

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04

W · Sub · R1

Clay Guida

Submission

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

Hernandez · Last 5

Upcoming

Rafael Dos Anjos

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

L · Dec · R3

Rafa Garcia

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04

W · KO · R2

Diego Ferreira

KO/TKO

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

W · KO · R1

Chase Hooper

KO/TKO

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · Dec · R3

Kurt Holobaugh

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03

News & Media

Chase Hooper · Alexander Hernandez

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