METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 27 Lightweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2018
Ultimate Fighter 27 Lightweight Tournament
VS
91%
Trizano
9%
Giannetti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael TrizanowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Giannetti · The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trizano
→
Actual result
Trizano wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Trizano is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trizano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Trizano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Trizano's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrizanoGiannetti
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trizano
Giannetti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
34
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Trizano
Giannetti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
2.7
54.4
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Trizano
Giannetti
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
6
Body
9
18
Leg
8
RangeRange
31Distance19
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Trizano
Giannetti
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trizano
Giannetti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Trizano
Giannetti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trizano
Giannetti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trizano
Giannetti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TrizanoGiannetti
Strike Zones
Trizano
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedGiannetti
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trizano targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Giannetti absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Giannetti targets the body (47% of attacks) — Trizano absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trizano
RND
Giannetti
0/0R00/0
Trizano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Trizano · Last 5
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Grant DawsonRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Giannetti · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07