METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 27 Lightweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2018
Ultimate Fighter 27 Lightweight Tournament
VS
91%
Trizano
9%
Giannetti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael TrizanowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Giannetti · The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trizano
→
Actual result
Trizano wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Trizano is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trizano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Risk flags
Trizano's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrizanoGiannetti
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trizano
Giannetti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
34
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Trizano
Giannetti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
2.7
54.4
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Trizano
Giannetti
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
7.1
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
6
Body
9
18
Leg
8
RangeRange
31Distance19
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Trizano
Giannetti
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trizano
Giannetti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Trizano
Giannetti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trizano
Giannetti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trizano
Giannetti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TrizanoGiannetti
Strike Zones
Trizano
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedGiannetti
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trizano targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Giannetti absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Giannetti targets the body (47% of attacks) — Trizano absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trizano
RND
Giannetti
0/0R00/0
Trizano · Last 5
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiKO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Lucas AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Grant DawsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Giannetti · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07