★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 27 Lightweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2018
Ultimate Fighter 27 Lightweight Tournament
VS
91%
Trizano
9%
Giannetti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MT
Michael Trizano
"The Lone Wolf"
11 – 3
5'11"71" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 29
JG
Joe Giannetti
6 – 1
Well-Rounded30 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Trizano

Trizano is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Trizano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.

Trizano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Trizano's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Trizano
Giannetti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Trizano
Giannetti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
2.7
54.4
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Trizano
Giannetti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
6
Body
9
18
Leg
8
RangeRange
31Distance19
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Trizano
Giannetti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trizano
Giannetti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Trizano
Giannetti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trizano
Giannetti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Trizano
Giannetti
Striking3.6 / 0.0Volume7.1 / 0.0Grappling1.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Trizano
Strike Zones
Giannetti
Trizano
Attacking
7HEAD6BODY18LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD9BODY8LEGS19 absorbed
Giannetti
Attacking
2HEAD9BODY8LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD6BODY18LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Trizano targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Giannetti absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Giannetti targets the body (47% of attacks) — Trizano absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Trizano
RND
Giannetti
0/0R00/0

Trizano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.5W4.2L5.7W5.6L4.1L5.2W2018-072019-052022-022022-11
WinLossTrend

Trizano · Last 5

W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Grant DawsonRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Giannetti · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07

News & Media

Michael Trizano · Joe Giannetti
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