METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Nzechukwu
46%
Craig
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:20
★ Official Result
Paul CraigwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:20
def. Kennedy Nzechukwu · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nzechukwu
→
Actual result
Craig wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nzechukwu at 54% vs Craig at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Nzechukwu's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Craig has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NzechukwuCraig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nzechukwu
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
83"+
Reach
76"
34+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nzechukwu
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
49.1
51.7
Performance Avg
50.4
51
Quality of Victory
52
88
Momentum Score
46
Nzechukwu
Craig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
8.4
2.1
Style: Volume
0.9
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
1
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance6
1Clinch3
5Ground0
Nzechukwu
Craig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nzechukwu
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
6
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/20 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Nzechukwu
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
46
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Nzechukwu
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
6
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nzechukwu
Craig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
NzechukwuCraig
Strike Zones
Nzechukwu
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedCraig
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nzechukwu targets the head (88% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the body (67% of attacks) — Nzechukwu absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nzechukwu
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0
Nzechukwu · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Shamil GazievKO/TKO
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Craig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Modestas BukauskasKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Caio BorralhoKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R3
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