METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Newark, USA
3 Aug 2019
Lightweight
VS
60%
Holtzman
40%
Ma
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Scott HoltzmanwinsR2 · 5:00
def. Dong Hyun Ma · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holtzman
→
Actual result
Holtzman wins
Pre-fight analysis
Holtzman holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Ma has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Holtzman's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ma has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HoltzmanMa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holtzman
Ma
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+70"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holtzman
Ma
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
15.5
40.6
Performance Avg
37.0
32
Quality of Victory
37
53
Momentum Score
78
Holtzman
Ma
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
3.5
5.7
Style: Volume
6.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
9
1
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance10
2Clinch1
5Ground0
Holtzman
Ma
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holtzman
Ma
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/27 fights
Holtzman
Ma
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Holtzman
Ma
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holtzman
Ma
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
HoltzmanMa
Strike Zones
Holtzman
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMa
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holtzman targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ma absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Ma targets the head (82% of attacks) — Holtzman absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holtzman
RND
Ma
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Holtzman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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