METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Newark, USA
3 Aug 2019
Lightweight
VS
67%
Holtzman
33%
Ma
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Scott HoltzmanwinsR2 · 5:00
def. Dong Hyun Ma · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holtzman
→
Actual result
Holtzman wins
Pre-fight analysis
Holtzman holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Ma has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holtzman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holtzman's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ma has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HoltzmanMa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holtzman
Ma
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+70"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holtzman
Ma
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.5
15.5
40.6
Performance Avg
37.0
32
Quality of Victory
37
53
Momentum Score
78
Holtzman
Ma
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
0.8
51%
Strike Accuracy
35%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
9
1
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance10
2Clinch1
5Ground0
Holtzman
Ma
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holtzman
Ma
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/27 fights
Holtzman
Ma
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Holtzman
Ma
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holtzman
Ma
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
HoltzmanMa
Strike Zones
Holtzman
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMa
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holtzman targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ma absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Ma targets the head (82% of attacks) — Holtzman absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holtzman
RND
Ma
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Holtzman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Ma · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Holtzman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
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L · KO · R2
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L · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · R2
Dong Hyun MaRating 4.2UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
Ma · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
L · R2
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.8UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Devonte SmithRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Damien BrownRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 5KO/TKO
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