UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Newark, USA
3 Aug 2019
Lightweight
VS
67%
Holtzman
33%
Ma
Win Probability
SH
Scott Holtzman
"Hot Sauce"
14 – 6
5'9"69" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
DH
Dong Hyun Ma
"Maestro"
16 – 11
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holtzman

Holtzman holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Ma has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Holtzman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holtzman's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ma has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Holtzman
Ma
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+70"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holtzman
Ma
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.5
15.5
40.6
Performance Avg
37.0
32
Quality of Victory
37
53
Momentum Score
78
Holtzman
Ma
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.8
51%
Strike Accuracy
35%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
9
1
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance10
2Clinch1
5Ground0
Holtzman
Ma
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holtzman
Ma
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/27 fights
Holtzman
Ma
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Holtzman
Ma
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holtzman
Ma
Striking2.5 / 4.1Volume5.7 / 6.1Grappling2.5 / 1.6Wrestling1.8 / 1.1Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Holtzman
Strike Zones
Ma
Holtzman
Attacking
31HEAD1BODY4LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Ma
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD1BODY4LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holtzman targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ma absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Ma targets the head (82% of attacks) — Holtzman absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holtzman
RND
Ma
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Holtzman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W6.7L4.5W5.6L4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5L4.2W4.9W2.5L3.8L6.0L2015-082017-042019-082022-12
WinLossTrend

Ma · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.0L4.0L4.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.8L5.5L2015-112016-122018-022019-082019-12
WinLossTrend

Holtzman · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · R2
Dong Hyun MaRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

Ma · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
L · R2
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Devonte SmithRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Damien BrownRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09

News & Media

Scott Holtzman · Dong Hyun Ma
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