Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Las Vegas, USA

6 Dec 2025

Bantamweight

50%

Cejudo

50%

Talbott

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Henry Cejudo

"Triple C"

16 – 6

5'4"64" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 65

Payton Talbott

11 – 1

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak28 yrsSwitch70" reach5'10"

CFR 66

★ Official Result

Payton TalbottwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Henry Cejudo · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Cejudo

→

Actual result

Talbott wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Cejudo at 50% vs Talbott at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cejudo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Risk flags

Cejudo's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

CejudoTalbott

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Cejudo

Talbott

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'4"

Height

+5'10"

64"

Reach

+70"

Age

+28

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

Cejudo

Talbott

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

65.3

65.5

58.4

Performance Avg

58.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Cejudo

Talbott

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.3

/ 10

5.7

/ 10

4.7

Style: Pressure

6.7

6.0

Style: Volume

4.9

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

17Distance32

3Clinch12

0Ground0

Cejudo

Talbott

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.4

/ 10

2.6

/ 10

1.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.8

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Cejudo

Talbott

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

11 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

16/22 fights

Chin rating based on

7/12 fights

Cejudo

Talbott

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · KO · R2

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Cejudo

Talbott

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

60%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cejudo

Talbott

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.7

1.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.6

1.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.8

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.0

4.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.7

6.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.9

Cejudo

Strike Zones

Talbott

Cejudo

Attacking

20 landed

Absorbing

44 absorbed

Talbott

Attacking

44 landed

Absorbing

20 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Cejudo targets the head (55% of attacks) — Talbott absorbs 55% of strikes there

🎯Talbott targets the head (59% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cejudo

RND

Talbott

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Cejudo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Payton Talbott

Decision

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

L · Dec · R3

Song Yadong

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

L · Dec · R3

Merab Dvalishvili

Decision

UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

L · Dec · R5

Aljamain Sterling

Decision

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

W · KO · R2

Dominick Cruz

KO/TKO

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

Talbott · Last 5

Upcoming

Deiveson Figueiredo

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Henry Cejudo

Decision

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

W · Dec · R3

Felipe Lima

Decision

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

L · Dec · R3

Raoni Barcelos

Decision

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · KO · R1

Yanis Ghemmouri

KO/TKO

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

News & Media

Henry Cejudo · Payton Talbott

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