UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Las Vegas, USA
1 Mar 2025
Featherweight
VS
62%
Silva
38%
Almeida
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Danny
Danny Silva
"El Puma"
11 – 2
5'7"69" reachSwitch29 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 60
Lucas
Lucas Almeida
15 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

Silva holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Almeida has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Almeida has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silva
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+71"
29+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.1
36.9
51.0
Performance Avg
35.8
35
Quality of Victory
38
92
Momentum Score
33
Silva
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
20
3
Body
5
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
22Distance28
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Silva
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Silva
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Silva
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Almeida
Striking4.8 / 5.7Volume6.8 / 4.7Grappling1.6 / 1.2Wrestling1.1 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Silva
Strike Zones
Almeida
Silva
Attacking
15HEAD3BODY4LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY3LEGS28 absorbed
Almeida
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY3LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD3BODY4LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (68% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (71% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.8W4.6W7.6L5.2W2024-032025-032025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Almeida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5W3.8L2.2L4.8W6.8L2.6L2022-062023-062023-122024-062025-032025-10
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 4

W · KO · R2
Kurtis CampbellRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin VallejosRating 7.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh CulibaoRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

Almeida · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Michael Aswell Jr.Rating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Danny SilvaRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Timmy CuambaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Andre FiliRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R2
Pat SabatiniRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Danny Silva · Lucas Almeida
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