UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Melbourne, Australia
14 Nov 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Perosh
54%
Villante
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Villante
This is a genuine toss-up — Perosh at 46% vs Villante at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Perosh has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Perosh has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Perosh's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Villante has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Perosh
Villante
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
75"
Reach
+76"
53
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perosh
Villante
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
20.4
50.0
Performance Avg
40.8
56
Quality of Victory
42
46
Momentum Score
33
Perosh
Villante
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
0
Body
5
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance17
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Perosh
Villante
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.8
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perosh
Villante
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
18/31 fights
Perosh
Villante
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Perosh
Villante
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perosh
Villante
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
PeroshVillante
Strike Zones
Perosh
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedVillante
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perosh targets the head (100% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Villante targets the head (63% of attacks) — Perosh absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perosh
RND
Villante
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Perosh · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Villante · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Perosh · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Gian VillanteRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · KO · R1
Sean O'ConnellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
W · Sub · R1
Guto InocenteRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
W · KO · R1
Vinny MagalhaesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10