UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
Mexico City, Mexico
15 Nov 2014
Welterweight
VS
8%
Garcia
92%
Urbina
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Urbina
Urbina is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Urbina has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Striking split: Garcia throws more volume but Urbina connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Garcia's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garcia
Urbina
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
Urbina
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.5
17.7
0.0
Performance Avg
45.7
0
Quality of Victory
54
0
Momentum Score
35
Garcia
Urbina
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.7
35%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
0
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch0
9Ground1
Garcia
Urbina
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garcia
Urbina
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/27 fights
Garcia
Urbina
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
35
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Garcia
Urbina
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Garcia
Urbina
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
GarciaUrbina
Strike Zones
Garcia
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedUrbina
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (83% of attacks) — Urbina absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Urbina targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Garcia
RND
Urbina
0/0R00/0
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Urbina · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Garcia · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Sheldon WestcottRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
Hector UrbinaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11
L · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · Dec · R3
Brad BlackburnRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
Urbina · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Edgar GarciaRating 5Submission
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11