UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Heavyweight
VS
28%
Spitz
72%
Boser
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DS
Daniel Spitz
6 – 3
6'7"82" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 18
Tanner
Tanner Boser
"The Bulldozer"
22 – 11
Striker34 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Boser

Boser is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Spitz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Boser has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Boser has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Spitz
Boser
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'2"
82"+
Reach
75"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Spitz
Boser
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
47.4
46.0
Performance Avg
44.6
60
Quality of Victory
44
36
Momentum Score
52
Spitz
Boser
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
35%
Strike Accuracy
54%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
16
2
Body
6
3
Leg
16
RangeRange
15Distance38
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Spitz
Boser
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Spitz
Boser
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
48
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
11/33 fights
Spitz
Boser
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Spitz
Boser
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Spitz
Boser
Striking10.0 / 6.9Volume0.5 / 4.1Grappling0.0 / 1.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Spitz
Strike Zones
Boser
Spitz
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY3LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD6BODY16LEGS38 absorbed
Boser
Attacking
16HEAD6BODY16LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY3LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Spitz targets the head (67% of attacks) — Boser absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Boser targets the head (42% of attacks) — Spitz absorbs 42% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Spitz
RND
Boser
0/0R00/0

Spitz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W2.8L6.1L2017-032017-092018-062019-10
WinLossTrend

Boser · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W7.2L5.7W5.2W6.2L5.5L5.8W5.8L1.8L4.5W5.0L2019-102020-072021-062023-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Spitz · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Mark GodbeerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

Boser · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gokhan SaricamRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Aleksa CamurRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
W · KO · R2
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06

News & Media

Daniel Spitz · Tanner Boser
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