METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Heavyweight
VS
28%
Spitz
72%
Boser
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tanner BoserwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Daniel Spitz · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Boser
→
Actual result
Boser wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Boser is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Spitz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Boser has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SpitzBoser
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Spitz
Boser
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'2"
82"+
Reach
75"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Spitz
Boser
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
47.4
46.0
Performance Avg
44.6
60
Quality of Victory
44
36
Momentum Score
52
Spitz
Boser
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
6.9
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
5.6
0.5
Style: Volume
4.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
16
2
Body
6
3
Leg
16
RangeRange
15Distance38
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Spitz
Boser
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Spitz
Boser
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
48
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
12/33 fights
Spitz
Boser
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Spitz
Boser
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Spitz
Boser
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
SpitzBoser
Strike Zones
Spitz
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedBoser
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spitz targets the head (67% of attacks) — Boser absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Boser targets the head (42% of attacks) — Spitz absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Spitz
RND
Boser
0/0R00/0
Spitz · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserDecision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Walt HarrisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Mark GodbeerDecision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Boser · Last 5
Upcoming
Jhonata DinizUFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · KO · R2
Gokhan SaricamKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Aleksa CamurDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09