UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Oct 2020
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Daukaus
50%
Nascimento
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Daukaus
This is a genuine toss-up — Daukaus at 50% vs Nascimento at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Daukaus has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Daukaus has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Daukaus's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nascimento has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Daukaus
Nascimento
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
+80"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Daukaus
Nascimento
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.9
41.9
55.2
Performance Avg
41.5
59
Quality of Victory
31
59
Momentum Score
73
Daukaus
Nascimento
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.8
1.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
46%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Daukaus
Nascimento
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Daukaus
Nascimento
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
54
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/19 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Daukaus
Nascimento
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
73
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Daukaus
Nascimento
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Daukaus
Nascimento
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
DaukausNascimento
Strike Zones
Daukaus
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedNascimento
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Daukaus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nascimento targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Daukaus absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Daukaus
RND
Nascimento
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Daukaus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Nascimento · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Daukaus · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
W · KO · R2
Shamil AbdurakhimovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Nascimento · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Derrick LewisRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09