UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2017
Catch Weight
VS
21%
Pickett
79%
Vera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:50
BP
Brad Pickett
"One Punch"
25 – 14
5'6"68" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
Marlon
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23 – 12
Well-Rounded4-fight slide33 yrsSwitch70" reach5'8"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vera

Vera is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Vera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pickett
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
47
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Pickett
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
51.4
36.4
Performance Avg
50.4
37
Quality of Victory
46
60
Momentum Score
39
Pickett
Vera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
30%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
19
3
Body
5
3
Leg
7
RangeRange
17Distance28
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Pickett
Vera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pickett
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
78
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/39 fights
Chin rating based on
26/35 fights
Pickett
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Pickett
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
73%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pickett
Vera
Striking2.7 / 5.8Volume5.5 / 3.3Grappling3.0 / 2.8Wrestling2.1 / 1.9Submission2.0 / 2.7Pressure3.9 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Pickett
Strike Zones
Vera
Pickett
Attacking
11HEAD3BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD5BODY7LEGS31 absorbed
Vera
Attacking
19HEAD5BODY7LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD3BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the head (65% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (61% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pickett
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pickett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0101.5L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.5L2.8L4.5W1.5L5.5L4.8L2011-112013-042014-112016-122017-03
WinLossTrend

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L5.2W6.3L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.5L5.7L5.2W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.5W6.8L6.5W6.0L5.3W5.5W5.7W5.4W7.0L5.0W7.0L6.6L6.6L7.2L2014-112018-022020-082023-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Pickett · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07

Vera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Brad Pickett · Marlon Vera
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