METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2017
Catch Weight
VS
21%
Pickett
79%
Vera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:50
★ Official Result
Marlon VerawinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:50
def. Brad Pickett · UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vera
→
Actual result
Vera wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Vera is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PickettVera
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pickett
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
47
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Pickett
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
51.4
36.4
Performance Avg
50.4
37
Quality of Victory
46
60
Momentum Score
39
Pickett
Vera
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.7
30%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
19
3
Body
5
3
Leg
7
RangeRange
17Distance28
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Pickett
Vera
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pickett
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
78
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/39 fights
Chin rating based on
26/35 fights
Pickett
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Pickett
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
73%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pickett
Vera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
PickettVera
Strike Zones
Pickett
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedVera
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the head (65% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (61% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pickett
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pickett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Vera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Pickett · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
Vera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08