METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2017
Catch Weight
VS
21%
Pickett
79%
Vera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:50
★ Official Result
Marlon VerawinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:50
def. Brad Pickett · UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vera
→
Actual result
Vera wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Vera is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PickettVera
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pickett
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
47
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Pickett
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
51.4
36.4
Performance Avg
50.4
37
Quality of Victory
46
60
Momentum Score
39
Pickett
Vera
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
6.9
5.5
Style: Volume
3.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
19
3
Body
5
3
Leg
7
RangeRange
17Distance28
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Pickett
Vera
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pickett
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
78
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/39 fights
Chin rating based on
27/35 fights
Pickett
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Pickett
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
73%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pickett
Vera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
PickettVera
Strike Zones
Pickett
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedVera
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the head (65% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (61% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pickett
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pickett · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberDecision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraSubmission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
Vera · Last 5
Upcoming
Charles JourdainUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
David MartinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyDecision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03