METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Dublin, Ireland
19 Jul 2014
Featherweight
VS
77%
McGregor
23%
Brandao
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:05
★ Official Result
Conor McGregorwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:05
def. Diego Brandao · UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGregor
→
Actual result
McGregor wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
McGregor is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McGregor has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
McGregor's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brandao has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McGregorBrandao
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McGregor
Brandao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
64"
38+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McGregor
Brandao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.5
19.9
67.0
Performance Avg
53.4
67
Quality of Victory
49
85
Momentum Score
79
McGregor
Brandao
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.3
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
7.6
Style: Pressure
5.3
2.9
Style: Volume
3.9
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
5
3
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance5
0Clinch4
8Ground0
McGregor
Brandao
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McGregor
Brandao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
42
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/33 fights
McGregor
Brandao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
79
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
McGregor
Brandao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
8
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGregor
Brandao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
McGregorBrandao
Strike Zones
McGregor
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedBrandao
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGregor targets the head (83% of attacks) — Brandao absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Brandao targets the head (56% of attacks) — McGregor absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGregor
RND
Brandao
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McGregor · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · R1
Dustin PoirierUFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierKO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Sub · R4
Khabib NurmagomedovSubmission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Brandao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaSubmission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
W · R1
Jimy HettesUFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Dustin PoirierKO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12