UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
20 Sept 2014
Welterweight
VS
30%
Akiyama
70%
Sadollah
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sadollah
Sadollah is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sadollah has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Sadollah has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Akiyama's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Akiyama
Sadollah
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
75"
50
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Akiyama
Sadollah
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.3
19.8
26.4
Performance Avg
47.3
25
Quality of Victory
43
10
Momentum Score
93
Akiyama
Sadollah
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
6
2
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance8
0Clinch1
19Ground0
Akiyama
Sadollah
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Akiyama
Sadollah
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
70
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
11 fights
Akiyama
Sadollah
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
93
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Akiyama
Sadollah
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Akiyama
Sadollah
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
0.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
AkiyamaSadollah
Strike Zones
Akiyama
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedSadollah
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Akiyama targets the head (94% of attacks) — Sadollah absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Sadollah targets the head (67% of attacks) — Akiyama absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Akiyama
RND
Sadollah
0/0R00/0
Akiyama · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Sadollah · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Akiyama · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alberto MinaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Jake ShieldsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
Sadollah · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yoshihiro AkiyamaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Jorge LopezRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · Dec · R3
Duane LudwigRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03