METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Oct 2020
Middleweight
VS
4%
Townsend
96%
Todorovic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:15
★ Official Result
Dusko TodorovicwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:15
def. Dequan Townsend · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Todorovic
→
Actual result
Todorovic wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Todorovic is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Todorovic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 56 points.
Risk flags
Townsend's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Todorovic has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TownsendTodorovic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Townsend
Todorovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
74"
40
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Townsend
Todorovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.5
39.1
0.0
Performance Avg
48.1
0
Quality of Victory
56
0
Momentum Score
0
Townsend
Todorovic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.2
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
8.1
0.0
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
30
1
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground29
Townsend
Todorovic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Townsend
Todorovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/33 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Townsend
Todorovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Townsend
Todorovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Townsend
Todorovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
TownsendTodorovic
Strike Zones
Townsend
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTodorovic
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Townsend targets the head (50% of attacks) — Todorovic absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Todorovic targets the head (94% of attacks) — Townsend absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Townsend
RND
Todorovic
0/0R00/0
Townsend · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Dusko TodorovicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Bevon LewisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R3
Dalcha LungiambulaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
Todorovic · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Robert ValentinSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaSubmission
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Mansur Abdul-MalikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO
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