METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2009
Middleweight
VS
43%
Sonnen
57%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chael SonnenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Miller · UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Sonnen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sonnen at 43% vs Miller at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Sonnen's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SonnenMiller
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sonnen
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
49
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sonnen
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.8
16.9
40.4
Performance Avg
43.7
34
Quality of Victory
42
45
Momentum Score
51
Sonnen
Miller
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
6.0
6.7
Style: Volume
3.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
1
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch1
6Ground0
Sonnen
Miller
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sonnen
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/44 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Sonnen
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sonnen
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sonnen
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
SonnenMiller
Strike Zones
Sonnen
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMiller
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sonnen targets the head (56% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sonnen absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sonnen
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
Sonnen · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Rashad EvansKO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Mauricio RuaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesKO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · KO · R2
Anderson SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingDecision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Jordan MeinKO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Sub · R3
Ricardo FunchSubmission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesDecision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtDecision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03