METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Flyweight
VS
73%
Mokaev
27%
Gordon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:26
★ Official Result
Muhammad MokaevwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:26
def. Malcolm Gordon · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mokaev
→
Actual result
Mokaev wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Mokaev is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Gordon has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MokaevGordon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mokaev
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+71"
26+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Mokaev
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
23.7
62.6
Performance Avg
36.9
38
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
10
Mokaev
Gordon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
4.4
5.4
Style: Volume
4.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch5
0Ground3
Mokaev
Gordon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
3.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
5.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mokaev
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Mokaev
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
10
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Mokaev
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mokaev
Gordon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
MokaevGordon
Strike Zones
Mokaev
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedGordon
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mokaev absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mokaev
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0
Mokaev · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Manel KapeDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex PerezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · Sub · R3
Tim ElliottSubmission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R3
Jafel FilhoSubmission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Sub · R3
Malcolm GordonSubmission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jimmy FlickSubmission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Jake HadleyKO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevSubmission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · KO · R1
Denys BondarKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Francisco FigueiredoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07