UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Flyweight
VS
69%
Mokaev
31%
Gordon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:26
Muhammad
Muhammad Mokaev
"The Punisher"
13 – 0
5'7"70" reachOrthodox25 yrs7-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Malcolm
Malcolm Gordon
"X"
14 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide36 yrsSwitch71" reach5'7"
CFR 29

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mokaev

Mokaev holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Gordon has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gordon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gordon has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Mokaev
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+71"
25+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Mokaev
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
28.5
62.6
Performance Avg
36.9
38
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
10
Mokaev
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch5
0Ground3
Mokaev
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
5.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mokaev
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Mokaev
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
10
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Mokaev
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mokaev
Gordon
Striking2.0 / 5.6Volume5.4 / 4.6Grappling5.6 / 1.2Wrestling3.9 / 0.8Submission5.7 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Mokaev
Strike Zones
Gordon
Mokaev
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Gordon
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mokaev absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mokaev
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0

Mokaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.1W5.4W5.5W6.6W5.6W5.8W6.2W2022-032022-102023-102024-07
WinLossTrend

Gordon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0102.8L2.1L4.5W5.0W5.4L2.2L3.2L2020-072021-072022-102024-01
WinLossTrend

Mokaev · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Manel KapeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · Sub · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 6.6
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Sub · R3
Malcolm GordonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

Gordon · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jimmy FlickRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Jake HadleyRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · KO · R1
Denys BondarRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Francisco FigueiredoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07

News & Media

Muhammad Mokaev · Malcolm Gordon
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