UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Catch Weight
VS
75%
Quarantillo
25%
Carlyle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Quarantillo
Quarantillo is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Carlyle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Quarantillo throws more volume but Carlyle connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Quarantillo's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.1
19.2
47.3
Performance Avg
49.3
42
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
35
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
58%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
6
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance5
2Clinch1
18Ground1
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/25 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
QuarantilloCarlyle
Strike Zones
Quarantillo
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedCarlyle
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Quarantillo targets the head (90% of attacks) — Carlyle absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Carlyle targets the head (86% of attacks) — Quarantillo absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Quarantillo
RND
Carlyle
0/0R00/0
Quarantillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Carlyle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Quarantillo · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Cub SwansonRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R2
Youssef ZalalRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Carlyle · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aalon CruzRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02