METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Catch Weight
VS
73%
Quarantillo
27%
Carlyle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Billy QuarantillowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Spike Carlyle · UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Quarantillo
→
Actual result
Quarantillo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Quarantillo is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Carlyle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Quarantillo's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
QuarantilloCarlyle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.6
19.2
45.5
Performance Avg
49.3
42
Quality of Victory
60
78
Momentum Score
35
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
8.0
3.7
Style: Volume
0.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
6
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance5
2Clinch1
18Ground1
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Quarantillo
Carlyle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
QuarantilloCarlyle
Strike Zones
Quarantillo
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedCarlyle
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Quarantillo targets the head (90% of attacks) — Carlyle absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Carlyle targets the head (86% of attacks) — Quarantillo absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Quarantillo
RND
Carlyle
0/0R00/0
Quarantillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Youssef ZalalSubmission
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Carlyle · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aalon CruzKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02