UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2025
Lightweight
VS
52%
Dariush
48%
Moicano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Beneil
Beneil Dariush
238
5'10"72" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Renato
Renato Moicano
217
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dariush

This is a genuine toss-up — Dariush at 52% vs Moicano at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Moicano throws more volume but Dariush connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Dariush's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moicano has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dariush
Moicano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Dariush
Moicano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.9
50.3
50.4
Performance Avg
51.7
39
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
64
Dariush
Moicano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
8
7
Body
0
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance8
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Dariush
Moicano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dariush
Moicano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
26/31 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Dariush
Moicano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Dariush
Moicano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
62%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
7
9
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dariush
Moicano
Striking3.1 / 2.1Volume5.6 / 3.8Grappling3.6 / 5.0Wrestling2.5 / 3.5Submission2.9 / 5.4Pressure5.3 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Dariush
Strike Zones
Moicano
Dariush
Attacking
13HEAD7BODY6LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Moicano
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD7BODY6LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dariush targets the head (50% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Moicano targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dariush absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dariush
RND
Moicano
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dariush · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W1.5L5.2W5.5W5.2W4.9W4.6W3.5L5.0W4.5W3.2L2.4L4.7W6.5W5.0W6.3W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.6W2.9L3.1L5.3W3.3L3.6L2014-012016-042019-102023-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Moicano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.4L5.0W5.5W3.2L2.0L5.0W2.5L6.0W6.1W5.7L5.0W5.7W6.5W5.9W3.5L6.5L6.4W2014-122018-082021-062024-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Dariush · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06

Moicano · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Beneil Dariush · Renato Moicano
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