UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
San Jose, USA
11 Jul 2012
Welterweight
VS
48%
Simpson
52%
Robertson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AS
Aaron Simpson
"A-Train"
12 – 5
6'0"73" reachOrthodox51 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
KR
Kenny Robertson
15 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Robertson

This is a genuine toss-up — Simpson at 48% vs Robertson at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Robertson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Robertson throws more volume but Simpson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Simpson's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Simpson
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
+74"
51
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Simpson
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
19.3
46.0
Performance Avg
46.7
34
Quality of Victory
48
76
Momentum Score
69
Simpson
Robertson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
0
3
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
3Clinch2
14Ground0
Simpson
Robertson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Simpson
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
9/20 fights
Simpson
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
69
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Simpson
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Simpson
Robertson
Striking4.1 / 3.4Volume7.0 / 2.9Grappling1.7 / 4.6Wrestling1.2 / 3.2Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure3.9 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Simpson
Strike Zones
Robertson
Simpson
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Robertson
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Simpson targets the head (72% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the body (67% of attacks) — Simpson absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Simpson
RND
Robertson
0/0R00/0

Simpson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.4W4.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W2.8L2009-042010-062011-072012-072012-10
WinLossTrend

Robertson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L2011-022013-062015-012016-09
WinLossTrend

Simpson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Mike PierceRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07

Robertson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Ben SaundersRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Sultan AlievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Sub · R1
Thiago PerpetuoRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

News & Media

Aaron Simpson · Kenny Robertson
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