UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Dallas, USA
30 Jul 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Negumereanu
51%
Potieria
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Potieria
This is a genuine toss-up — Negumereanu at 49% vs Potieria at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Potieria has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Potieria has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Negumereanu
Potieria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
78"+
Reach
75"
31
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Negumereanu
Potieria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.6
32.5
51.4
Performance Avg
35.5
41
Quality of Victory
43
78
Momentum Score
26
Negumereanu
Potieria
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
24
6
Body
2
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance25
24Clinch6
0Ground0
Negumereanu
Potieria
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Negumereanu
Potieria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
Negumereanu
Potieria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Negumereanu
Potieria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Negumereanu
Potieria
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
NegumereanuPotieria
Strike Zones
Negumereanu
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedPotieria
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Negumereanu targets the head (86% of attacks) — Potieria absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Potieria targets the head (77% of attacks) — Negumereanu absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Negumereanu
RND
Potieria
0/0R00/0
Negumereanu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Potieria · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Negumereanu · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · KO · R2
Ihor PotieriaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · KO · R1
Ike VillanuevaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Aleksa CamurRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
Potieria · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marco TulioRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 6.6Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Michel PereiraRating 2.1Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Robert BryczekRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Rodolfo BellatoRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
