UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
12 Sept 2020
Lightweight
VS
64%
Azaitar
36%
Worthy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Azaitar
Azaitar holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Worthy has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Azaitar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Azaitar's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Worthy has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Azaitar
Worthy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+74"
36+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Azaitar
Worthy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.8
29.0
52.0
Performance Avg
47.5
60
Quality of Victory
53
33
Momentum Score
59
Azaitar
Worthy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
4.2
2.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
45%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
6Clinch0
7Ground0
Azaitar
Worthy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Azaitar
Worthy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
34
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Azaitar
Worthy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Azaitar
Worthy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Azaitar
Worthy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
AzaitarWorthy
Strike Zones
Azaitar
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedWorthy
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Azaitar targets the head (75% of attacks) — Worthy absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Worthy targets the body (100% of attacks) — Azaitar absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Azaitar
RND
Worthy
0/0R00/0
Azaitar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Worthy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Azaitar · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Francisco PradoRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Matt FrevolaRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · KO · R1
Khama WorthyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Teemu PackalenRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
Worthy · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jai HerbertRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Sub · R3
Luis PenaRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
W · KO · R1
Devonte SmithRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08