METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
12 Sept 2020
Lightweight
VS
61%
Azaitar
39%
Worthy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:33
★ Official Result
Ottman AzaitarwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:33
def. Khama Worthy · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Azaitar
→
Actual result
Azaitar wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Azaitar holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Worthy has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Azaitar's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Worthy has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AzaitarWorthy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Azaitar
Worthy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+74"
36+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Azaitar
Worthy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
29.0
52.0
Performance Avg
47.5
60
Quality of Victory
53
33
Momentum Score
59
Azaitar
Worthy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
8.2
Style: Pressure
8.2
0.8
Style: Volume
0.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
6Clinch0
7Ground0
Azaitar
Worthy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Azaitar
Worthy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
34
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Azaitar
Worthy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Azaitar
Worthy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Azaitar
Worthy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
AzaitarWorthy
Strike Zones
Azaitar
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedWorthy
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Azaitar targets the head (75% of attacks) — Worthy absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Worthy targets the body (100% of attacks) — Azaitar absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Azaitar
RND
Worthy
0/0R00/0
Azaitar · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Francisco PradoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Matt FrevolaKO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · KO · R1
Khama WorthyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Teemu PackalenKO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
Worthy · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jai HerbertKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyKO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Sub · R3
Luis PenaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
W · KO · R1
Devonte SmithKO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08