UFC 64: Unstoppable
Las Vegas, USA
14 Oct 2006
Welterweight
VS
70%
Fitch
30%
Hironaka
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fitch
Fitch is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fitch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hironaka has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fitch
Hironaka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
70"
48+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fitch
Hironaka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
8.8
52.4
Performance Avg
25.0
32
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
22
Fitch
Hironaka
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.5
57%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
2
2
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance3
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Fitch
Hironaka
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fitch
Hironaka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
54
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
4/32 fights
Fitch
Hironaka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fitch
Hironaka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fitch
Hironaka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
FitchHironaka
Strike Zones
Fitch
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedHironaka
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hironaka absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Hironaka targets the head (67% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fitch
RND
Hironaka
0/0R00/0
Fitch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Hironaka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
Hironaka · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Dec · R3
Forrest PetzRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Jon FitchRating 5.5Decision
UFC 64: Unstoppable · 2006-10