METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 64: Unstoppable
Las Vegas, USA
14 Oct 2006
Welterweight
VS
70%
Fitch
30%
Hironaka
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JF
Jon Fitch
307
6'0"74" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
KH
Kuniyoshi Hironaka
239
Well-Rounded2-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 9
★ Official Result
Jon FitchwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kuniyoshi Hironaka · UFC 64: Unstoppable

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fitch
Actual result
Fitch wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Fitch is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Fitch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hironaka has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FitchHironaka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Fitch
Hironaka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
70"
48+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fitch
Hironaka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
8.8
52.4
Performance Avg
25.0
32
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
22
Fitch
Hironaka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.5
57%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
2
2
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance3
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Fitch
Hironaka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fitch
Hironaka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
54
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
4/32 fights
Fitch
Hironaka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fitch
Hironaka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fitch
Hironaka
Striking2.4 / 0.5Volume7.4 / 8.5Grappling3.4 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission2.1 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Fitch
Strike Zones
Hironaka
Fitch
Attacking
18HEAD2BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Hironaka
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD2BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hironaka absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Hironaka targets the head (67% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fitch
RND
Hironaka
0/0R00/0

Fitch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5L2005-102007-062009-072012-102013-02
WinLossTrend

Hironaka · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.5L4.5W2.8L2.8L2006-102007-042007-092008-04
WinLossTrend

Fitch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ Penn
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08

Hironaka · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Dec · R3
Forrest PetzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Jon FitchRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 64: Unstoppable · 2006-10

News & Media

Jon Fitch · Kuniyoshi Hironaka
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