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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
Orlando, USA
19 Dec 2015
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Santos
49%
Overeem
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:43
JD
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21 – 9
6'4"77" reachOrthodox42 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
Knockout Artist46 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Alistair OvereemwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:43
def. Junior Dos Santos · UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Overeem wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 51% vs Overeem at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Overeem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Overeem has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SantosOvereem
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Overeem
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
+80"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Overeem
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
18.1
57.8
Performance Avg
55.0
53
Quality of Victory
52
59
Momentum Score
56
Santos
Overeem
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
73%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.7
10 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
5
Body
5
2
Leg
12
RangeRange
15Distance19
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Santos
Overeem
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Overeem
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/30 fights
Chin rating based on
20/66 fights
Santos
Overeem
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
56
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Santos
Overeem
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
10
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Overeem
Striking8.0 / 8.7Volume4.0 / 3.2Grappling0.8 / 0.6Wrestling0.6 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Santos
Strike Zones
Overeem
Santos
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY12LEGS23 absorbed
Overeem
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY12LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (53% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Overeem targets the legs (52% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 52% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Overeem
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.6W2.8L4.5W2.6L4.5W5.5W6.3W1.9L3.1L3.8L4.5L2008-102011-062014-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Overeem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

News & Media

Junior Dos Santos · Alistair Overeem
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