UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
Orlando, USA
19 Dec 2015
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Santos
49%
Overeem
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Santos
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 51% vs Overeem at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Overeem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Overeem has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Santos
Overeem
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
+80"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Overeem
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
18.1
57.8
Performance Avg
55.0
53
Quality of Victory
52
59
Momentum Score
56
Santos
Overeem
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
73%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.7
10 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
5
Body
5
2
Leg
12
RangeRange
15Distance19
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Santos
Overeem
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Overeem
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/30 fights
Chin rating based on
20/66 fights
Santos
Overeem
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
56
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Santos
Overeem
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
10
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Overeem
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
SantosOvereem
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedOvereem
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (53% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Overeem targets the legs (52% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Overeem
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Overeem · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
Overeem · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04