METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Sterling
40%
Dillashaw
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:44
★ Official Result
Aljamain SterlingwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:44
def. TJ Dillashaw · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sterling
→
Actual result
Sterling wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Sterling holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Dillashaw has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dillashaw has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Dillashaw throws more volume but Sterling connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dillashaw has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SterlingDillashaw
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sterling
Dillashaw
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
67"
36+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sterling
Dillashaw
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
36.6
54.2
Performance Avg
62.3
38
Quality of Victory
56
71
Momentum Score
100
Sterling
Dillashaw
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
3
8
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance5
1Clinch0
32Ground0
Sterling
Dillashaw
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sterling
Dillashaw
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Sterling
Dillashaw
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Sterling
Dillashaw
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
62%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
4
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sterling
Dillashaw
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
SterlingDillashaw
Strike Zones
Sterling
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedDillashaw
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (76% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (60% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sterling
RND
Dillashaw
0/0R00/0
Sterling · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Dillashaw · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Sterling · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11