UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2017
Lightweight
VS
30%
Pettis
70%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pettis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pettis's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pettis
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
71"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pettis
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
43.5
52.6
Performance Avg
51.5
51
Quality of Victory
45
72
Momentum Score
28
Pettis
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
4
9
Body
10
2
Leg
9
RangeRange
29Distance13
3Clinch10
0Ground0
Pettis
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pettis
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/34 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Pettis
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
28
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Pettis
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
71%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
14
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pettis
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
PettisMiller
Strike Zones
Pettis
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedMiller
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (66% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the body (43% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pettis
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
Pettis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Pettis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4.5Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Sub · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8Submission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Nate DiazRating 5.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
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