UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Newark, USA
9 May 2026
Middleweight
VS
72%
Susurkaev
28%
Santos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:12
Baisangur
Baisangur Susurkaev
"The Real Hunter"
12 – 0
6'2"79" reachOrthodox25 yrs3-fight win streakPressure Fighter
CFR 78
Djorden
Djorden Santos
"Shakur"
11 – 3
Well-Rounded28 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 30

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Susurkaev

Susurkaev is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Susurkaev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.

Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Susurkaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Susurkaev
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
75"
25+
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Susurkaev
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
77.7
30.3
68.9
Performance Avg
28.3
48
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
27
Susurkaev
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.4
60%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
12
7
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance12
0Clinch2
7Ground0
Susurkaev
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Susurkaev
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Susurkaev
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
27
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Susurkaev
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Susurkaev
Santos
Striking5.3 / 0.7Volume2.0 / 8.7Grappling5.3 / 2.4Wrestling3.7 / 1.7Submission6.7 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Susurkaev
Strike Zones
Santos
Susurkaev
Attacking
21HEAD7BODY2LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD7BODY2LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Susurkaev targets the head (70% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (86% of attacks) — Susurkaev absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Susurkaev
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Susurkaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W5.5W5.5W2025-082025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L5.2W6.1L2025-032025-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Susurkaev · Last 3

W · Sub · R3
Djorden SantosRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Eric NolanRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

Santos · Last 3

L · Sub · R3
Baisangur SusurkaevRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Danny BarlowRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ozzy DiazRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03

News & Media

Baisangur Susurkaev · Djorden Santos
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