UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Sydney, Australia
8 Feb 2025
Lightweight
VS
41%
59%
Steele
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Rongzhu
Rongzhu
27 – 6
5'9"72" reachOrthodox26 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Kody
Kody Steele
8 – 1
Submission Hunter31 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Steele

This is a genuine toss-up — at 41% vs Steele at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Steele has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Steele
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
26+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Steele
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
63.2
40.0
Performance Avg
52.4
33
Quality of Victory
54
50
Momentum Score
71
Steele
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.4
53%
Strike Accuracy
27%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
53
Head
18
1
Body
5
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
60Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Steele
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Steele
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/33 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Steele
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
71
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Steele
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Steele
Striking4.3 / 1.0Volume6.3 / 1.0Grappling1.6 / 8.0Wrestling1.1 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure3.8 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Strike Zones
Steele
Attacking
53HEAD1BODY6LEGS60 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD5BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Steele
Attacking
18HEAD5BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
53HEAD1BODY6LEGS60 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (88% of attacks) — Steele absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Steele targets the head (78% of attacks) — absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

RND
Steele
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5W5.3L6.5L5.9W4.5W2021-042021-092022-022024-092025-022025-08
WinLossTrend

Steele · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.4
0106.0L6.8W2025-022026-05
WinLossTrend

· Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kody SteeleRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · R2
Chris PadillaRating 6.5
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · Sub · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · KO · R3
Brandon JenkinsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

Steele · Last 2

W · Sub · R1
Dom Mar FanRating 6.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
RongzhuRating 6
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

News & Media

Rongzhu · Kody Steele
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