UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2024
Bantamweight
VS
33%
Argueta
67%
Matsumoto
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Matsumoto
Matsumoto holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Argueta has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Matsumoto has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Argueta
Matsumoto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
32
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Argueta
Matsumoto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.7
52.4
25.0
Performance Avg
43.9
25
Quality of Victory
33
28
Momentum Score
75
Argueta
Matsumoto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
1
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance11
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Argueta
Matsumoto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Argueta
Matsumoto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Argueta
Matsumoto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Argueta
Matsumoto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Argueta
Matsumoto
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
ArguetaMatsumoto
Strike Zones
Argueta
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedMatsumoto
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Argueta targets the head (88% of attacks) — Matsumoto absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Matsumoto targets the head (69% of attacks) — Argueta absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Argueta
RND
Matsumoto
0/0R00/0
Argueta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Matsumoto · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Argueta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody HaddonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Jean MatsumotoRating 3.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Upcoming
Miles JohnsUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
Upcoming
Ronnie LawrenceSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Nick AguirreRating 4.5Decision
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Matsumoto · Last 5
Upcoming
Bekzat AlmakhanUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
