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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Montreal, Canada
17 Nov 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
89%
Diabate
11%
Griggs
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:24
CD
Cyrille Diabate
"The Snake"
1910
6'6"81" reachSouthpaw52 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
CG
Chad Griggs
"The Grave Digger"
113
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Cyrille DiabatewinsSubmissionR1 · 2:24
def. Chad Griggs · UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diabate
Actual result
Diabate wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Diabate is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Diabate has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.

Risk flags

Diabate's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DiabateGriggs
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Diabate
Griggs
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'1"
81"+
Reach
73"
52
Age
+48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diabate
Griggs
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
2.1
44.6
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
68
Momentum Score
0
Diabate
Griggs
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.0
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
3Clinch0
2Ground0
Diabate
Griggs
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diabate
Griggs
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
Strikes absorbed / min
8/29 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Diabate
Griggs
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Diabate
Griggs
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Diabate
Griggs
Striking3.5 / 0.0Volume5.0 / 0.0Grappling3.2 / 0.0Wrestling2.2 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Diabate
Strike Zones
Griggs
Diabate
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Griggs
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Diabate targets the head (100% of attacks) — Griggs absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Griggs targets the body (50% of attacks) — Diabate absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Diabate
RND
Griggs
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Diabate · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ilir Latifi
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
L · R1
Jimi Manuwa
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Chad Griggs
Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Tom DeBlass
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R2
Anthony Perosh
Submission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11

Griggs · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Cyrille Diabate
Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Sub · R1
Travis Browne
Submission
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04

News & Media

Cyrille Diabate · Chad Griggs
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