UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Montreal, Canada
17 Nov 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
89%
Diabate
11%
Griggs
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:24
CD
Cyrille Diabate
"The Snake"
19 – 10
6'6"81" reachSouthpaw52 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
CG
Chad Griggs
"The Grave Digger"
11 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Diabate

Diabate is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Diabate has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.

Diabate has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Diabate's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Diabate
Griggs
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'1"
81"+
Reach
73"
52
Age
+48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diabate
Griggs
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
2.1
44.6
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
68
Momentum Score
0
Diabate
Griggs
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.4
75%
Strike Accuracy
33%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
3Clinch0
2Ground0
Diabate
Griggs
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diabate
Griggs
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/29 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Diabate
Griggs
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Diabate
Griggs
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Diabate
Griggs
Striking3.5 / 0.0Volume5.0 / 0.0Grappling3.2 / 0.0Wrestling2.2 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Diabate
Strike Zones
Griggs
Diabate
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Griggs
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Diabate targets the head (100% of attacks) — Griggs absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Griggs targets the body (50% of attacks) — Diabate absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Diabate
RND
Griggs
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Diabate · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W4.0L1.5L2010-052011-032012-042013-022014-03
WinLossTrend

Griggs · QOF Timeline

Avg: 1.5
0101.5L1.5L2012-042012-11
WinLossTrend

Diabate · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
L · R1
Jimi ManuwaRating 4
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Chad GriggsRating 5
Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Tom DeBlassRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R2
Anthony PeroshRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11

Griggs · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Cyrille DiabateRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Sub · R1
Travis BrowneRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04

News & Media

Cyrille Diabate · Chad Griggs
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