METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2022
Lightweight
VS
29%
Riddell
71%
Moicano
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:20
★ Official Result
Renato MoicanowinsSubmissionR1 · 3:20
def. Brad Riddell · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moicano
→
Actual result
Moicano wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Moicano is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moicano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Riddell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moicano has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RiddellMoicano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Riddell
Moicano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Riddell
Moicano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
50.3
37.9
Performance Avg
51.7
25
Quality of Victory
43
50
Momentum Score
64
Riddell
Moicano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.7
Style: Pressure
6.3
9.1
Style: Volume
3.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
6
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Riddell
Moicano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.4
0
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riddell
Moicano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
21/28 fights
Riddell
Moicano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
64
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
Riddell
Moicano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
62%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riddell
Moicano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
RiddellMoicano
Strike Zones
Riddell
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMoicano
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riddell targets the head (43% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Moicano targets the head (100% of attacks) — Riddell absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riddell
RND
Moicano
0/0R00/0
Riddell · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R3
Rafael FizievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Drew DoberDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
Moicano · Last 5
Upcoming
Brian OrtegaUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevSubmission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisUFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09