UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger
New Orleans, USA
17 Sept 2011
Welterweight
VS
49%
Shields
51%
Ellenberger
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:53
JS
Jake Shields
31 – 9
6'0"72" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
JE
Jake Ellenberger
"The Juggernaut"
31 – 15
Well-Rounded4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ellenberger

This is a genuine toss-up — Shields at 49% vs Ellenberger at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ellenberger has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Ellenberger has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ellenberger has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Shields
Ellenberger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shields
Ellenberger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
15.7
37.9
Performance Avg
45.7
25
Quality of Victory
45
65
Momentum Score
56
Shields
Ellenberger
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.2
32%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
7
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch2
0Ground5
Shields
Ellenberger
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shields
Ellenberger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/40 fights
Chin rating based on
21/46 fights
Shields
Ellenberger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
56
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Shields
Ellenberger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shields
Ellenberger
Striking1.1 / 6.0Volume9.1 / 3.4Grappling2.4 / 1.5Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 1.0Pressure1.7 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Shields
Strike Zones
Ellenberger
Shields
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Ellenberger
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shields targets the body (100% of attacks) — Ellenberger absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ellenberger targets the head (78% of attacks) — Shields absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shields
RND
Ellenberger
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Shields · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L2010-102011-092013-062014-03
WinLossTrend

Ellenberger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.3L1.8L5.2W2.1L5.5L5.4W1.5L2.8L1.5L1.9L2009-092012-022014-112017-042018-08
WinLossTrend

Shields · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
W · Dec · R5
Demian MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Ed Herman
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Yoshihiro AkiyamaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02

Ellenberger · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bryan BarberenaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R2
Mike PerryRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R1
Jorge MasvidalRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

News & Media

Jake Shields · Jake Ellenberger
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