UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
Louisville, USA
3 Mar 2011
Middleweight
VS
35%
Branch
65%
Palhares
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Palhares
Palhares holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Branch has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Palhares has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Palhares has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Branch's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Palhares has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Branch
Palhares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
78"+
Reach
71"
44+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Branch
Palhares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.9
21.7
38.0
Performance Avg
54.0
34
Quality of Victory
46
36
Momentum Score
100
Branch
Palhares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.8
38%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Branch
Palhares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.6
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Branch
Palhares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
32
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Branch
Palhares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Branch
Palhares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
6
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Branch
Palhares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
BranchPalhares
Strike Zones
Branch
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPalhares
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Branch targets the body (67% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Palhares targets the head (100% of attacks) — Branch absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Branch
RND
Palhares
0/0R00/0
Branch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Palhares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Branch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 2.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
Palhares · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 5Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08