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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 109: Relentless
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2010
Lightweight
VS
53%
Danzig
47%
Buchholz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MD
Mac Danzig
2112
5'8"70" reachOrthodox46 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JB
Justin Buchholz
1510
Submission Hunter3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Mac DanzigwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Buchholz · UFC 109: Relentless

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Danzig
Actual result
Danzig wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Danzig at 53% vs Buchholz at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Danzig's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DanzigBuchholz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Danzig
Buchholz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+73"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Danzig
Buchholz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
15.7
46.0
Performance Avg
37.7
51
Quality of Victory
50
65
Momentum Score
33
Danzig
Buchholz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
7.6
4.0
Style: Volume
0.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
6
3
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance6
0Clinch1
7Ground0
Danzig
Buchholz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Danzig
Buchholz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Danzig
Buchholz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Danzig
Buchholz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Danzig
Buchholz
Striking2.8 / 0.4Volume4.0 / 0.4Grappling4.2 / 8.0Wrestling2.9 / 5.6Submission4.0 / 10.0Pressure5.3 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Danzig
Strike Zones
Buchholz
Danzig
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Buchholz
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Danzig targets the head (83% of attacks) — Buchholz absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Buchholz targets the head (86% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Danzig
RND
Buchholz
0/0R00/0

Danzig · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joe Lauzon
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin Guillard
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori Gomi
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain Escudero
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt Wiman
Decision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Buchholz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mac Danzig
Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · R1
Jeremy Stephens
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Sub · R2
Terry Etim
Submission
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
W · Sub · R2
Corey Hill
Submission
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
L · Sub · R1
Matt Wiman
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman · 2008-01

News & Media

Mac Danzig · Justin Buchholz
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