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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 109: Relentless
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2010
Lightweight
VS
53%
Danzig
47%
Buchholz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MD
Mac Danzig
2112
5'8"70" reachOrthodox46 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JB
Justin Buchholz
1510
Submission Hunter3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Mac DanzigwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Buchholz · UFC 109: Relentless

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Danzig
Actual result
Danzig wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Danzig at 53% vs Buchholz at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Danzig has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Danzig's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DanzigBuchholz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Danzig
Buchholz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+73"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Danzig
Buchholz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
15.7
46.0
Performance Avg
37.7
51
Quality of Victory
50
65
Momentum Score
33
Danzig
Buchholz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.0
53%
Strike Accuracy
28%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
6
3
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance6
0Clinch1
7Ground0
Danzig
Buchholz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Danzig
Buchholz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Danzig
Buchholz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Danzig
Buchholz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Danzig
Buchholz
Striking2.8 / 0.4Volume4.0 / 0.4Grappling4.2 / 8.0Wrestling2.9 / 5.6Submission4.0 / 10.0Pressure5.3 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Danzig
Strike Zones
Buchholz
Danzig
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Buchholz
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Danzig targets the head (83% of attacks) — Buchholz absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Buchholz targets the head (86% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Danzig
RND
Buchholz
0/0R00/0

Danzig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.5W6.0L2.8L5.9L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L2007-122009-072011-102013-12
WinLossTrend

Buchholz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0101.5L5.2W2.8L4.5L5.5L2008-012008-072009-062009-092010-02
WinLossTrend

Danzig · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin GuillardRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Buchholz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mac DanzigRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Sub · R2
Terry EtimRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
W · Sub · R2
Corey HillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
L · Sub · R1
Matt WimanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman · 2008-01

News & Media

Mac Danzig · Justin Buchholz
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