METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
69%
Ricci
31%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tabatha RicciwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Maria Oliveira · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ricci
→
Actual result
Ricci wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ricci holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Oliveira has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ricci has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Oliveira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RicciOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ricci
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'6"
61"
Reach
+69"
31
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ricci
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.5
22.0
48.1
Performance Avg
25.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
28
Ricci
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.9
38%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
12
2
Body
2
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance18
0Clinch1
9Ground0
Ricci
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ricci
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/20 fights
Ricci
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
28
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ricci
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ricci
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
RicciOliveira
Strike Zones
Ricci
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ricci targets the head (83% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (63% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ricci
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Ricci · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Ricci · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2Decision
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W · KO · R2
Amanda RibasRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Oliveira · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Gloria de PaulaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10