METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
68%
Ricci
32%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tabatha RicciwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Maria Oliveira · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ricci
→
Actual result
Ricci wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ricci holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Oliveira has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RicciOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ricci
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'6"
61"
Reach
+69"
31
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ricci
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.8
22.0
44.1
Performance Avg
25.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
28
Ricci
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
0.8
6.9
Style: Volume
8.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
12
2
Body
2
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance18
0Clinch1
9Ground0
Ricci
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ricci
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/20 fights
Ricci
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ricci
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ricci
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
RicciOliveira
Strike Zones
Ricci
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ricci targets the head (83% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (63% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ricci
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Ricci · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R2
Amanda RibasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Oliveira · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaDecision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Gloria de PaulaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10