UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
69%
Ricci
31%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tabatha
Tabatha Ricci
"Baby Shark"
124
5'1"61" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
MO
Maria Oliveira
"Spider-Girl"
137
Well-Rounded2-fight slide29 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ricci

Ricci holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Oliveira has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ricci has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Oliveira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Ricci
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'6"
61"
Reach
+69"
31
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ricci
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.5
22.0
48.1
Performance Avg
25.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
28
Ricci
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.9
38%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
12
2
Body
2
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance18
0Clinch1
9Ground0
Ricci
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ricci
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/20 fights
Ricci
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
28
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ricci
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ricci
Oliveira
Striking2.7 / 0.5Volume7.0 / 8.5Grappling2.9 / 2.4Wrestling2.0 / 1.7Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Ricci
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Ricci
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY5LEGS19 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY5LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ricci targets the head (83% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (63% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ricci
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0

Ricci · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.4L4.5W4.8W5.3W5.7W6.0L5.2W4.6W6.5L5.4W6.2L2021-062023-032024-052025-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.2L4.5W5.7L5.5L2021-102022-062022-112023-06
WinLossTrend

Ricci · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Amanda RibasRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

Oliveira · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Gloria de PaulaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10

News & Media

Tabatha Ricci · Maria Oliveira
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