METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2017
Women's Flyweight
VS
85%
Borella
15%
Faria
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:54
MR
Mara Romero Borella
129
5'6"69" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
KF
Kalindra Faria
188
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsSwitch5'7"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Mara Romero BorellawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:54
def. Kalindra Faria · UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Borella
Actual result
Borella wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Borella is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Borella has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Risk flags

Borella's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BorellaFaria
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Borella
Faria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
69"
Reach
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Borella
Faria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.5
2.1
35.1
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
10
Momentum Score
0
Borella
Faria
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.6
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Borella
Faria
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Borella
Faria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
74
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/26 fights
Borella
Faria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Borella
Faria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Borella
Faria
Striking0.6 / 0.0Volume4.6 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Borella
Strike Zones
Faria
Borella
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Faria
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Borella targets the head (67% of attacks) — Faria absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Borella
RND
Faria
0/0R00/0

Borella · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Mayra Bueno Silva
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Cortney Casey
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La Rosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R3
Lauren Murphy
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Taila Santos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Faria · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Joanne Wood
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · Dec · R3
Jessica Eye
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · Sub · R1
Mara Romero Borella
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10

News & Media

Mara Romero Borella · Kalindra Faria
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