METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2017
Women's Flyweight
VS
85%
Borella
15%
Faria
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:54
★ Official Result
Mara Romero BorellawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:54
def. Kalindra Faria · UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Borella
→
Actual result
Borella wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Borella is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Borella has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Faria has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Borella's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BorellaFaria
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Borella
Faria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
69"
Reach
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Borella
Faria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.5
2.1
35.1
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
10
Momentum Score
0
Borella
Faria
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.5
34%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Borella
Faria
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Borella
Faria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
74
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/26 fights
Borella
Faria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Borella
Faria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Borella
Faria
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BorellaFaria
Strike Zones
Borella
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedFaria
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Borella targets the head (67% of attacks) — Faria absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Borella
RND
Faria
0/0R00/0
Borella · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Faria · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Borella · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Cortney CaseyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Faria · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Joanne WoodRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · Dec · R3
Jessica EyeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · Sub · R1
Mara Romero BorellaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10