UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
29 Aug 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
61%
Smith
39%
Rakic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Smith
Smith holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Rakic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Rakic throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Smith
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
76"
Reach
+78"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
37.5
50.7
Performance Avg
43.8
50
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
25
Smith
Rakic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
0
Body
3
0
Leg
9
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch1
0Ground12
Smith
Rakic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/60 fights
Chin rating based on
11/20 fights
Smith
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
25
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Smith
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
77%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Rakic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
SmithRakic
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedRakic
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rakic targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Rakic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.1Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
Rakic · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Thiago SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03