METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
23 Jul 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
71%
Krylov
29%
Gustafsson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:07
★ Official Result
Nikita KrylovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:07
def. Alexander Gustafsson · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krylov
→
Actual result
Krylov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Krylov is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Krylov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Krylov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gustafsson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KrylovGustafsson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Krylov
Gustafsson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
+79"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Krylov
Gustafsson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
24.8
52.7
Performance Avg
50.3
50
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
39
Krylov
Gustafsson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
1.2
60%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
4
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance5
4Clinch0
7Ground0
Krylov
Gustafsson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Krylov
Gustafsson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/42 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Krylov
Gustafsson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Krylov
Gustafsson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
5
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Krylov
Gustafsson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
KrylovGustafsson
Strike Zones
Krylov
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedGustafsson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Krylov targets the head (92% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (80% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Krylov
RND
Gustafsson
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Krylov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Gustafsson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Krylov · Last 5
Upcoming
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Ryan SpannRating 5.4Submission
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Gustafsson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Sub · R4
Anthony SmithRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05