UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
Las Vegas, USA
20 Nov 2021
Featherweight
VS
94%
Nuerdanbieke
6%
Soriano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nuerdanbieke
Nuerdanbieke is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nuerdanbieke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Soriano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nuerdanbieke's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Soriano has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nuerdanbieke
Soriano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+70"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nuerdanbieke
Soriano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.0
2.6
42.0
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Nuerdanbieke
Soriano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
77%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Nuerdanbieke
Soriano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nuerdanbieke
Soriano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
60
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/51 fights
Chin rating based on
5/22 fights
Nuerdanbieke
Soriano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Nuerdanbieke
Soriano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nuerdanbieke
Soriano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NuerdanbiekeSoriano
Strike Zones
Nuerdanbieke
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSoriano
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nuerdanbieke targets the head (67% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Soriano targets the head (75% of attacks) — Nuerdanbieke absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nuerdanbieke
RND
Soriano
0/0R00/0
Nuerdanbieke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Soriano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Nuerdanbieke · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 5.2Submission
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
Soriano · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 5.8Decision
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L · Sub · R2
Christos GiagosRating 2.9Submission
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L · Sub · R3
Charles RosaRating 4Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Chas SkellyRating 5.5Decision
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L · Sub · R2
Tatsuya KawajiriRating 2.8Submission
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