METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Middleweight
VS
94%
Nickal
6%
Woodburn
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:38
★ Official Result
Bo NickalwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:38
def. Val Woodburn · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nickal
→
Actual result
Nickal wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Nickal is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 65 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nickal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NickalWoodburn
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nickal
Woodburn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
76"+
Reach
74"
30+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nickal
Woodburn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.0
4.6
64.1
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
89
Momentum Score
0
Nickal
Woodburn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.4
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.0
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Nickal
Woodburn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nickal
Woodburn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Nickal
Woodburn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Nickal
Woodburn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nickal
Woodburn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NickalWoodburn
Strike Zones
Nickal
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWoodburn
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nickal targets the head (100% of attacks) — Woodburn absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Woodburn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nickal absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nickal
RND
Woodburn
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nickal · Last 5
W · KO · R1
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W · KO · R3
Rodolfo VieiraKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Reinier de RidderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Paul CraigDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R2
Cody BrundageSubmission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Woodburn · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Oban ElliottDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Bo NickalKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07