UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Middleweight
VS
93%
Nickal
7%
Woodburn
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:38
Bo
Bo Nickal
8 – 1
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw30 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 68
Val
Val Woodburn
"The Animal"
7 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'8"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nickal

Nickal is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 63 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nickal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Striking split: Woodburn throws more volume but Nickal connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Nickal
Woodburn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
76"+
Reach
74"
30+
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nickal
Woodburn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
5.5
62.0
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
89
Momentum Score
0
Nickal
Woodburn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.8
56%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Nickal
Woodburn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nickal
Woodburn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Nickal
Woodburn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Nickal
Woodburn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nickal
Woodburn
Striking5.7 / 0.0Volume3.3 / 0.0Grappling3.7 / 0.0Wrestling2.6 / 0.0Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure8.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Nickal
Strike Zones
Woodburn
Nickal
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Woodburn
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nickal targets the head (100% of attacks) — Woodburn absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Woodburn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nickal absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nickal
RND
Woodburn
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nickal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.0W5.8W5.2W3.8L6.8W2023-032023-072024-042024-112025-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Woodburn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0103.2L6.2L2023-072024-02
WinLossTrend

Nickal · Last 5

Upcoming
Kyle Daukaus
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Reinier de RidderRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Paul CraigRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R2
Cody BrundageRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Woodburn · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Oban ElliottRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Bo NickalRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

News & Media

Bo Nickal · Val Woodburn
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