UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Adelaide, Australia
1 Dec 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
39%
Rua
61%
Pedro
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pedro
Pedro holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Rua has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pedro has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pedro has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rua
Pedro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+79"
44
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rua
Pedro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
55.6
49.7
Performance Avg
56.6
51
Quality of Victory
58
46
Momentum Score
65
Rua
Pedro
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
60%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.8
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Rua
Pedro
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Pedro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
11/15 fights
Rua
Pedro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Rua
Pedro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rua
Pedro
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
RuaPedro
Strike Zones
Rua
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPedro
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the head (93% of attacks) — Pedro absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Pedro targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rua
RND
Pedro
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rua · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Pedro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Rua · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul CraigDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
Pedro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Anton TurkaljRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Harry HunsuckerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · KO · R1
Ike VillanuevaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04